will Mogadishu afford a full scale war with Ethiopia? Will the African Union allow this war?

Mogadishu regime paraded a cache of weapons, which the Minister of Defense explicitly stated  were purchased to fight with Ethiopia. 

This display followed recent defense agreement between Mogadishu and Egypt, which has emboldened the regime to renew its irredentist and territorial claims against Ethiopia. 

Mogadishu claims ownership of Ethiopia’s entire Somali Region (Region 5), an ambition that dates back to Somalia’s 1977 invasion under a former dictator. That war ultimately led to Somalia’s collapse. 

 The current Hawiye regime in Mogadishu appears intent on reviving these irredentist, ethno-nationalist and expansionist aspirations once more.